Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenyang Urban win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.22% and a win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenyang Urban win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Dalian Zhixing win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.