Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.21% and a win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%) , while for a Dalian Zhixing win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.