Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.01% and a win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Dalian Zhixing win it was 0-1 (5.39%).