Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%).