Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Henan had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Henan win was 0-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.