Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.