Chinese Super League Gameweek 10
May 6, 2026 12.35pm
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 2, 2026 1.00pm
Yunnan Yukun 3 - 3 Beijing Guoan

Dalian Zhixing

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 1, 2026 12.00pm
Dalian Zhixing 1 - 0 Chongqing Tongliang Long

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Dalian Zhixing has a probability of 28.99% and a draw has a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Dalian Zhixing win is 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.63%).

Result

Beijing Guoan 47.36% (+0.18)
Draw 23.65% (-0.07)
Dalian Zhixing 28.99% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.21% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.92% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 18.08% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 60.68% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.32% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.74% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 61.26% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 23.87% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 76.13% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Beijing Guoan 43.65% (-0.04)
Draw 36.11% (+0.07)
Dalian Zhixing 20.24% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Beijing Guoan 58.31% (+0.10)
No Goal 4.54% (-0.05)
Dalian Zhixing 37.15% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 66.49%
Equal 8 9.95% (+0.02)
Under 8 23.57% (-0.01)
Over 9 55.64% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.85% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.51%
Over 10.5 44.75% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.25% (+0.04)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 1.5 51% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 49% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 26.02% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.98% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 11.15% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 88.85% (-0.05)

Dalian Zhixing Goals

Over 0.5 66.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 33.6% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.47%
Under 1.5 64.53%
Over 2.5 14.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.4% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Beijing Guoan 47.37%
Draw 23.65%
Dalian Zhixing 29%
Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.54% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.77% (+0.05)
Other @ 10.8% (+0.06)
Total : 47.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.35% (-0.02)
Total : 23.65%
Dalian Zhixing
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.25% (+0.04)
Total : 29%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Chinese Super League playoffs
Sep 26, 2025 12.35pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Chinese Super League Gameweek 11
May 5, 2025 8.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Beijing National Stadium
  • Xuebin Zhao 56' yellowcard
  • goal Wang Ziming 19'
  • goal Fabio Abreu 22'
  • yellowcard Zhang Yuan 83'