Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.