Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.88% and a win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Yunnan Yukun win it was 1-2 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.