Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.86% and a win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Yunnan Yukun win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.