Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.