Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.22% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (5.41%).