Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.77% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.