Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.