Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.