Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 3-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.