Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (6.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.