Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.27% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.