EFL Cup
Chelsea
Aug 27, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Luton
  • Danny Welbeck 50' goal
  • Hakeem Odoffin 79' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Johnson 56'

Chelsea vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Luton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 48.01% ▼ (-0.61)
Draw 21.97% ▼ (-0.40)
Luton Town 29.97% ▲ (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.25% ▲ (+0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.39% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 17.61% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 62% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 2.5 38% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 3.5 39.69% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 60.31% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 24.83% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 4.5 75.17% ▼ (-0.65)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 36.82% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 38.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Luton Town 24.68% ▼ (-0.34)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 59.56% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 4.39% ▼ (-0.21)
Luton Town 36.05% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 61.83% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 10.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 27.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 9 50.58% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 38.17% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 10.5 39.7% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 10.5 60.3% ▲ (+0.23)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 50.56% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 49.44% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 26.22% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 73.78% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 10.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.38% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 0.5 33.62% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 1.5 36.49% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 1.5 63.51% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 2.5 16.03% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 83.97% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 3.5 6.41% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 93.59% ▼ (-0.46)

Score analysis

Chelsea 48%
Draw 21.97%
Luton Town 29.97%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 21.97%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.42)
Total : 29.97%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Luton
Dec 30, 2023 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Chelsea
  • Jacob Brown 27' yellowcard
  • Teden Mengi 77' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 80' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 87' goal
  • goal Cole Palmer 12'
  • goal Noni Madueke 37'
  • goal Cole Palmer 70'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 87'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Chelsea
Aug 25, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Luton
  • Raheem Sterling 17' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 68' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 73' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 75' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Lockyer 27'
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 30'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 78'
FA Cup
Luton
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Chelsea
  • Reece Burke 2' goal
  • Harry Cornick 40' goal
  • Admiral Muskwe 67' yellowcard
  • goal Saul Niguez 27'
  • goal Timo Werner 68'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 78'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 24, 2021 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Luton
  • Tammy Abraham 11' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 17' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 74' goal
  • goal Jordan Clark 30'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 85'

Form Data

Fulham 2 - 3 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 1 Real Sociedad
Johor Darul 3 - 3 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 0 AC Milan
Chelsea 0 - 1 Juventus
Sunderland 2 - 1 Chelsea
Luton 2 - 2 Notts County
Reading 3 - 4 Luton
Gillingham 0 - 3 Luton
Luton 0 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Luton 2 - 0 Al Kholood
Barnet 2 - 2 Luton

Build-up

News
News
Head to head