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Millwall vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 30.01% and a draw has a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).
Result
Millwall
43.75%
▼
(-0.79)
Draw
26.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Derby County
30.01%
▲
(+0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
55.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.75%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
25.25%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 2.5
49.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
50.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
27.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
72.07%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
15.13%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
84.87%
▲
(+0.11)
First Half Winner
Millwall
33.51%
▲
(+1.08)
Draw
42.39%
▼
(-1.32)
Derby County
24.1%
▲
(+0.25)
Team To Score First
Millwall
50.53%
▲
(+0.81)
No Goal
6.77%
▼
(-0.18)
Derby County
42.7%
▼
(-0.63)
Corners
Over 8
66.03%
▲
(+0.94)
Equal 8
10.17%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 8
23.8%
▼
(-0.79)
Over 9
54.98%
▲
(+1.02)
Equal 9
11.06%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 9
33.97%
▼
(-0.94)
Over 10.5
43.93%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 10.5
56.07%
▼
(-1.00)
Millwall Goals
Over 1.5
42.23%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
57.77%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 2.5
17.98%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
82.02%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 3.5
6.11%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
93.89%
▲
(+0.27)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
65.78%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
34.22%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 1.5
31.42%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 1.5
68.58%
▼
(-0.86)
Over 2.5
11.1%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
88.9%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
3.15%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Millwall
43.76%
Draw
26.28%
Derby County
30.02%
Millwall
1-0
@
10.49%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 43.76%
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 43.76%
Draw
1-1
@
12.73%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 26.28%
0-0 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 26.28%
Derby County
0-1
@
8.05%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 30.02%
1-2 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 30.02%
Nathan Byrne
64'