Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
Fratton Park

Portsmouth vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Wolves 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Marko Milovanović

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Millwall 2 - 2 Lincoln
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Portsmouth has a probability of 36.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win is 1-0 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result

Portsmouth 36.58% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 26.44%
Millwall 36.98% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.98% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.62% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 23.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 52.64% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 47.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 30.54% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 69.46% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 16.81% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 83.19% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Portsmouth 30.74%
Draw 43.46%
Millwall 25.8%

Team To Score First

Portsmouth 49.04% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 6.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Millwall 44.75% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.88%
Under 8 20.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 58.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 30.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 46.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 53.07% ▼ (-0.01)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 1.5 38.33% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 1.5 61.67% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 2.5 15.54% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 84.46% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 3.5 5.03% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 94.97% ▲ (+0.22)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 72.09% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 27.91% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 38.9% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 61.1% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 15.77% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 84.23% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 5.21% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.79% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 36.59%
Draw 26.43%
Millwall 36.99%
Portsmouth
1-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.22)
Total : 36.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 26.43%
Millwall
0-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 5% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 36.99%

Head to Head

Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Macaulay Langstaff 61' yellowcard
  • Casper De Norre 64' goal
  • Thierno Ballo 81' yellowcard
  • Zak Sturge 81' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 81' yellowcard
  • Barry Bannan 82' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Caballero 46'
  • goal John Swift 55'
  • goal Marlon Pack 67'
  • yellowcard Adrian Segecic 70'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 86'
  • yellowcard Ibane Bowat 90'+2'
Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 57' goal
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 57' goal
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 87' goal
  • yellowcard Terry Devlin 29'
  • yellowcard Colby Bishop 59'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 67'
  • goal Andre Dozzell 80'
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 17
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fratton Park
  • goal Mihailo Ivanovic 40'
  • yellowcard Raees Bangura-Williams 53'
  • yellowcard Aaron Connolly 62'
EFL Cup
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Gavin Whyte 45' yellowcard
  • Callum Lang 86' yellowcard
  • goal Romain Esse 13'
  • yellowcard Liam Roberts 81'
EFL Cup
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Den
  • Scott Malone 21' goal
  • George Saville 27' goal
  • Jake Cooper 49' yellowcard
  • goal Recco Hackett-Fairchild 4'
  • redcard Callum Johnson 48'
  • yellowcard Recco Hackett-Fairchild 49'