Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
The Den

Millwall vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Millwall 0 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 6 West Ham
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 37.06% and a draw has a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

Millwall 37.06% ▼ (-1.26)
Draw 25.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Lincoln City 37.14% ▲ (+1.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% ▲ (+0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 51.96% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 48.04% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 3.5 29.51% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 70.49% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 4.5 16.29% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 4.5 83.71% ▼ (-0.34)

First Half Winner

Millwall 29.4% ▼ (-1.59)
Draw 43.75% ▲ (+1.55)
Lincoln City 26.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Millwall 48.66% ▼ (-0.56)
No Goal 6.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Lincoln City 44.69% ▲ (+0.52)

Corners

Over 8 70.06% ▲ (+4.79)
Equal 8 10.28% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 8 19.66% ▼ (-4.08)
Over 9 58.37% ▲ (+5.01)
Equal 9 11.69% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 9 29.94% ▼ (-4.78)
Over 10.5 46.34% ▲ (+4.79)
Under 10.5 53.66% ▼ (-4.79)

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 37.33% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 1.5 62.67% ▲ (+0.96)
Over 2.5 15.15% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 84.85% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 3.5 4.73% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 95.27% ▲ (+0.27)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 0.5 28.89% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 1.5 38.09% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 1.5 61.91% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 2.5 15.46% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 2.5 84.54% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 3.5 5.33% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 3.5 94.67% ▼ (-0.71)

Score analysis

Millwall 37.06%
Draw 25.77%
Lincoln City 37.15%
Millwall
1-0 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.46)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.38)
Total : 37.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.30)
0-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 25.77%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.62)
Total : 37.15%