/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Igor Julio
31'
-
Zeki Amdouni
34'
-
Anel Ahmedhodzic
56'
-
Josh Laurent
68'
-
Ugo Raghouber
86'
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David Ozoh
67'
-
Corey Blackett-Taylor
87'
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Mohammed Fuseini
90'+3'
Burnley vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result
Burnley
42.25%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
26.52%
▲
(+0.08)
Derby County
31.26%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
52.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.1%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
26.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
48.34%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
51.66%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
26.43%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
73.57%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
14.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
85.93%
▲
(+0.07)
First Half Winner
Burnley
30.23%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
42.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Derby County
27.13%
▼
(-0.04)
Team To Score First
Burnley
49.17%
▲
(+0.13)
No Goal
7.78%
▲
(+0.05)
Derby County
43.05%
▼
(-0.18)
Corners
Over 8
62.78%
Equal 8
11.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
26.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 9
50.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
11.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
37.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 10.5
39.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
60.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 1.5
40.06%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
59.94%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
16.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
83.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
5.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.57%
▼
(-0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
65.69%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
34.31%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
31.52%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
68.48%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 2.5
10.87%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
89.13%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
3.11%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
96.89%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Burnley
42.25%
Draw
26.52%
Derby County
31.26%
Burnley
1-0
@
10.47%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 42.25%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 42.25%
Draw
1-1
@
12.47%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.52%
0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.52%
Derby County
0-1
@
8.68%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 31.26%
1-2 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 31.26%
Chris Martin
43'