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Burnley vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 31.46% and a draw has a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).
Result
Burnley
42.09%
▲
(+1.81)
Draw
26.45%
▼
(-1.06)
Derby County
31.46%
▼
(-0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
52.96%
▲
(+2.35)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.11%
▲
(+1.55)
Under 1.5
26.89%
▼
(-1.56)
Over 2.5
48.44%
▲
(+1.91)
Under 2.5
51.56%
▼
(-1.91)
Over 3.5
26.56%
▲
(+1.56)
Under 3.5
73.44%
▼
(-1.57)
Over 4.5
14.15%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 4.5
85.85%
▼
(-0.91)
First Half Winner
Burnley
30.19%
▲
(+2.82)
Draw
42.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County
27.16%
▼
(-2.86)
Team To Score First
Burnley
49.03%
▲
(+4.56)
No Goal
7.73%
▼
(-0.91)
Derby County
43.24%
▼
(-3.65)
Corners
Over 8
62.78%
▲
(+5.25)
Equal 8
11.12%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 8
26.09%
▼
(-5.13)
Over 9
50.97%
▲
(+4.87)
Equal 9
11.81%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 9
37.22%
▼
(-5.25)
Over 10.5
39.51%
▲
(+4.11)
Under 10.5
60.49%
▼
(-4.11)
Burnley Goals
Over 1.5
39.96%
▲
(+2.00)
Under 1.5
60.04%
▼
(-2.00)
Over 2.5
16.46%
▲
(+1.47)
Under 2.5
83.54%
▼
(-1.46)
Over 3.5
5.41%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 3.5
94.59%
▼
(-0.71)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
65.81%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
34.19%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
31.71%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
68.29%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
11.03%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
88.97%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
3.17%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
96.83%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Burnley
42.08%
Draw
26.45%
Derby County
31.46%
Burnley
1-0
@
10.45%
▼
(-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.37)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.79)
Total : 42.08%
2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.37)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.79)
Total : 42.08%
Draw
1-1
@
12.44%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.91)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 26.45%
0-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.91)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 26.45%
Derby County
0-1
@
8.7%
▼
(-0.54)
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 31.46%
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 31.46%
Chris Martin
43'