Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2026 7.45pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
West Ham 3 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
West Brom 1 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jimmy-Jay Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for West Bromwich Albion has a probability of 34.74% and a draw has a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win is 0-1 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Derby County 38.3% (+0.24)
Draw 26.99%
West Bromwich Albion 34.74% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.49% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.02% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 26.98% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 48.78% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.22% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.42% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 73.58% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 14.02% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.98% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Derby County 28.97%
Draw 43.44%
West Bromwich Albion 27.59%

Team To Score First

Derby County 45.6% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.95% (+0.05)
West Bromwich Albion 46.45% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.86%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 28.35%
Over 9 47.6%
Equal 9 12.26%
Under 9 40.14%
Over 10.5 36%
Under 10.5 64%

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 37.25% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.75% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 14.82% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.18% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.04)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 31.7% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 34.58% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 65.42% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 13.24% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 86.76% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.77% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Derby County 38.29%
Draw 27%
West Bromwich Albion 34.74%
Derby County
1-0 @ 9.9% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.32% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.18% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.38% (+0.02)
Total : 38.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.95% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 27%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.99% (-0.05)
Total : 34.74%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 23, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Patrick Agyemang 44' goal
  • Oscar Fraulo 63' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 63' yellowcard
  • Corey Taylor 64' yellowcard
  • Rhian Brewster 64' yellowcard
  • Oscar Fraulo 64' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 64' yellowcard
  • Corey Blackett-Taylor 64' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 85' yellowcard
  • Dion Sanderson 85' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Iling-Junior 8'
  • yellowcard Josh Maja 61'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike 61'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace  61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike  61'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 74'
  • goal Chris Mepham 90'+5'
Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Tom Fellows 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 70' goal
  • goal Ebou Adams 7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Harness 10'
  • goal Jerry Yates 30'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 87'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jerry Yates 28' goal
  • Mason Holgate 68' goal
  • Ebou Adams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 40'
  • goal Grady Diangana 81'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Louie Sibley 15' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 59'