Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • yellowcard Harry Whitwell 10'
  • goal Aune Heggebø 16'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 26'
  • redcard Brayann Pereira 34'
  • yellowcard Jimmy-Jay Morgan 82'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Morgan 82'

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
West Ham 3 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
West Brom 1 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jimmy-Jay Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 38.09% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 27.04% ▲ (+0.06)
West Bromwich Albion 34.85% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.85% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 27.15% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 48.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 51.44% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 26.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 73.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.07% ▲ (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Derby County 29.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 43.4% ▼ (-0.04)
West Bromwich Albion 27.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Derby County 45.55% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 7.99% ▲ (+0.05)
West Bromwich Albion 46.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 28.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 47.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.26%
Under 9 40.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 64.04% ▲ (+0.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 37.02% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 62.98% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 14.65% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 85.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 4.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 95.45% ▲ (+0.08)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Derby County 38.08%
Draw 27.04%
West Bromwich Albion 34.85%
Derby County
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 38.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.04%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 23, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Patrick Agyemang 44' goal
  • Oscar Fraulo 63' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 63' yellowcard
  • Corey Taylor 64' yellowcard
  • Rhian Brewster 64' yellowcard
  • Oscar Fraulo 64' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 64' yellowcard
  • Corey Blackett-Taylor 64' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 85' yellowcard
  • Dion Sanderson 85' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Iling-Junior 8'
  • yellowcard Josh Maja 61'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike 61'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace  61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike  61'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 74'
  • goal Chris Mepham 90'+5'
Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Tom Fellows 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 70' goal
  • goal Ebou Adams 7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Harness 10'
  • goal Jerry Yates 30'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 87'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jerry Yates 28' goal
  • Mason Holgate 68' goal
  • Ebou Adams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 40'
  • goal Grady Diangana 81'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Louie Sibley 15' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 59'