Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT London Stadium
  • Joël Piroe 6' goal
  • Edvin Austbø 87' goal
  • Mohamadou Kanté 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Mowatt 21'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Fuseini 77'

West Ham United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
West Ham 4 - 2 Wolves
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Jarrod Bowen 

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Portsmouth 0 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

West Ham United 40.55%
Draw 26.53%
Derby County 32.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 43.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.07%
Under 3.5 65.93%
Over 4.5 19.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.1% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

West Ham United 30.21%
Draw 43.1%
Derby County 26.69%

Team To Score First

West Ham United 49.81% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Derby County 43.98%

Corners

Over 8 65.29%
Equal 8 10.56%
Under 8 24.15%
Over 9 53.86%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 34.71%
Over 10.5 42.53%
Under 10.5 57.47%

West Ham United Goals

Over 1.5 43.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 69.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5%
Under 3.5 95%

Score analysis

West Ham United 40.54%
Draw 26.53%
Derby County 32.88%
West Ham United
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.31%
Total : 40.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.53%
Derby County
1-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.88%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 30, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 10'
  • goal Michail Antonio 50'
Championship
Dec 31, 2011 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Callum Ball 2' goal
  • Paul Green 10' goal
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 24'
  • goal Frank Nouble 42'
  • yellowcard Joey O'Brien 57'
  • yellowcard Winston Reid 66'
  • yellowcard Gary O'Neil 90'
Championship
Nov 26, 2011 5.20pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George McCartney 40' yellowcard
  • Carlton Cole 44' goal
  • Kevin Nolan 64' goal
  • Mark Noble 74' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 44'
Premier League
Apr 19, 2008 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bobby Zamora 20' goal
  • Carlton Cole 77' goal
  • Mark Noble 80' yellowcard
  • Scott Parker 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrone Mears 65'
  • yellowcard Alan Stubbs 74'
Premier League
Nov 10, 2007 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matt Oakley 21' yellowcard
  • Craig Fagan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Bowyer 34'
  • goal Lee Bowyer 42'
  • goal Matthew Etherington 51'
  • goal Eddie Lewis 55' (OG)
  • goal Lee Bowyer 59'
  • goal Nolberto Solano 69'
Championship
Jan 23, 2005 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carl Fletcher 22' yellowcard
  • Carl Fletcher 26' goal
  • goal Grzegorz Rasiak 10'
  • yellowcard Lee Camp 42'
  • goal Grzegorz Rasiak 63'
  • yellowcard Grzegorz Rasiak 81'