Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
London Stadium

West Ham United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
West Ham 4 - 2 Wolves
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Divine Mukasa

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Portsmouth 0 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Ham United win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 32.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result

West Ham United 42.18% (-0.04)
Draw 25.42%
Derby County 32.4% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.81% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.19% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 53.63% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.37% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.13% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.87% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.59% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.41% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

West Ham United 28.57%
Draw 43.86% (-0.01)
Derby County 27.57% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

West Ham United 48.11% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.54%
Derby County 45.35% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.58%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 30.14%
Over 9 47.01%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 41.42%
Over 10.5 36.13%
Under 10.5 63.87%

West Ham United Goals

Over 1.5 42.91% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.09% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.16% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.59% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.41% (-0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 32.04% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 34.94% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.06% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.49% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.51% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.04)

Score analysis

West Ham United 42.17%
Draw 25.43%
Derby County 32.4%
West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 6.5% (+0.01)
Total : 42.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 25.43%
Derby County
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 4.19% (+0.03)
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 30, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 10'
  • goal Michail Antonio 50'
Championship
Dec 31, 2011 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Callum Ball 2' goal
  • Paul Green 10' goal
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 24'
  • goal Frank Nouble 42'
  • yellowcard Joey O'Brien 57'
  • yellowcard Winston Reid 66'
  • yellowcard Gary O'Neil 90'
Championship
Nov 26, 2011 5.20pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George McCartney 40' yellowcard
  • Carlton Cole 44' goal
  • Kevin Nolan 64' goal
  • Mark Noble 74' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 44'
Premier League
Apr 19, 2008 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bobby Zamora 20' goal
  • Carlton Cole 77' goal
  • Mark Noble 80' yellowcard
  • Scott Parker 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrone Mears 65'
  • yellowcard Alan Stubbs 74'
Premier League
Nov 10, 2007 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matt Oakley 21' yellowcard
  • Craig Fagan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Bowyer 34'
  • goal Lee Bowyer 42'
  • goal Matthew Etherington 51'
  • goal Eddie Lewis 55' (OG)
  • goal Lee Bowyer 59'
  • goal Nolberto Solano 69'
Championship
Jan 23, 2005 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carl Fletcher 22' yellowcard
  • Carl Fletcher 26' goal
  • goal Grzegorz Rasiak 10'
  • yellowcard Lee Camp 42'
  • goal Grzegorz Rasiak 63'
  • yellowcard Grzegorz Rasiak 81'