Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
Bramall Lane

Sheffield United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Patrick Bamford

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Derby 0 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sheffield United win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 26.38% and a draw has a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.73%).

Result

Sheffield United 49.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Derby County 26.38% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.64% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 63.85% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 22.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.92% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Sheffield United 36.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 42.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Derby County 21.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Sheffield United 55.45% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Derby County 39.51% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 28.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 48.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 39.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 37.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 62.34% ▼ (-0.12)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 1.5 51.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 63.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 68.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sheffield United 49.92%
Draw 23.66%
Derby County 26.37%
Sheffield United
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 49.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
Derby County
1-2 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Sammie Szmodics 5' goal
  • Bobby Clark 60' yellowcard
  • Max Johnston 68' yellowcard
  • Oscar Fraulo 74' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Cannon 62'
  • yellowcard Tahith Chong 64'
  • yellowcard Ki-Jana Hoever 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Rothwell 64'
  • goal Sydie Peck 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 72'
  • yellowcard Jaïro Riedewald 85'
Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Marcus Harness 70' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 49'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Souza 70'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bramall Lane
  • Vinicius Souza 38' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Hamer 53' goal
  • Anel Ahmedhodzic 56' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Warne 0'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 50'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 86'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Korey Smith 59' goal
  • goal Anis Ben Slimane 17'
  • goal George Baldock 83'
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 85'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Lawrence 69' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 78' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iliman Ndiaye 90'+3'