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Derby County vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 36.18% and a draw has a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13%).
Result
Derby County
36.72%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
27.13%
▼
(-0.05)
Stoke City
36.18%
▲
(+0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
52.27%
▼
(-0.41)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.91%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 1.5
28.09%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 2.5
46.55%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 2.5
53.45%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 3.5
24.66%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 3.5
75.34%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 4.5
12.69%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 4.5
87.31%
▲
(+0.61)
First Half Winner
Derby County
31.09%
▲
(+1.11)
Draw
44.19%
▲
(+1.19)
Stoke City
24.72%
▼
(-2.31)
Team To Score First
Derby County
50.04%
▲
(+1.72)
No Goal
7.96%
▲
(+0.04)
Stoke City
42%
▼
(-1.75)
Corners
Over 8
72.7%
▲
(+3.50)
Equal 8
9.78%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 8
17.52%
▼
(-2.91)
Over 9
61.28%
▲
(+3.75)
Equal 9
11.42%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 9
27.3%
▼
(-3.49)
Over 10.5
49.23%
▲
(+3.64)
Under 10.5
50.77%
▼
(-3.64)
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
34.81%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 1.5
65.19%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 2.5
12.9%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 2.5
87.1%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 3.5
3.73%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
96.27%
▲
(+0.30)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
69.24%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
30.76%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
34.65%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
65.35%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 2.5
12.67%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 2.5
87.33%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 3.5
3.76%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
96.24%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Derby County
36.72%
Draw
27.14%
Stoke City
36.18%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.24%
▲
(+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 36.72%
2-1 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 36.72%
Draw
1-1
@
13%
▲
(+0.20)
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 27.14%
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 27.14%
Stoke City
0-1
@
9.93%
▲
(+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 36.18%
1-2 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 36.18%
Head to Head
-
Jaydon Banel
41'
-
Jaydon Banel
54'
-
Oscar Fraulo
80'
-
Carlton Morris
89'
-
Cruz Anthony Allen
90'+2'
-
Max Johnston
90'+3'
-
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
90'+3'
-
Cruz Anthony Allen
90'+3'
-
Jun-ho Bae
35'
-
Sam Gallagher
46'
-
Lewis Baker
63'
-
Million Manhoef
63'
-
Milan Smit
78'