Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Iker Bravo 19' yellowcard
  • Amin Nabizada 90'+1' goal
  • Amin Nabizada 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumaré 33'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 45'+4'
  • goal Eric-Junior Bocat 57'
  • yellowcard George Hirst 82'

Watford vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Watford 2 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Ethan Galbraith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.69% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Watford 51.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 25.69% ▲ (+0.07)
Stoke City 22.53% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.43% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.49% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 75.51% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 13.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 86.52% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Watford 40.97% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 38.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Stoke City 20.7% ▼ (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Watford 59.38% ▲ (+0.10)
No Goal 8.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Stoke City 32.55% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 64.56% ▼ (-0.38)
Equal 8 10.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 24.54% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 9 52.83% ▼ (-0.39)
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 35.44% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 10.5 41.3% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 10.5 58.7% ▲ (+0.36)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 45.85% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 54.15% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 20.22% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 79.78% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 7.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.89% ▲ (+0.08)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 57.31% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 42.69% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 23.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 6.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.71%
Under 3.5 98.29%

Score analysis

Watford 51.8%
Draw 25.69%
Stoke City 22.54%
Watford
1-0 @ 12.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 51.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.69%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.54%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Million Manhoef 28' goal
  • Ben Gibson 70' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 71' yellowcard
  • Million Manhoef 77' goal
  • Ben Pearson 79' yellowcard
  • Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 79' yellowcard
  • Tatsuki Seko 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Gallagher 85' goal
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 62'
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 71'
  • yellowcard Pierre Ekwah 71'
  • goal Nestory Irankunda 81'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Kjerrumgaard 86'
Championship
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vivaldo Semedo 66' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pollock 69' yellowcard
  • Luca Kjerrumgaard 74' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Bozenik 30'
  • yellowcard Sorba Thomas 59'
  • yellowcard Maksym Talovierov 83'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ben Pearson 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 33'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 69'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 47' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 47' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 49' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 49' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 73' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 73' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 88' yellowcard
  • Francisco Sierralta 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 55'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 90'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 90'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Jake Livermore 15' goal
  • Valerien Ismael 15' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 42' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 52' redcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 72' yellowcard
  • James Morris 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 14'
  • goal Ryan Mmaee 34'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Luke McNally 29' yellowcard
  • Luke McNally 29' yellowcard
  • Wesley 52' yellowcard
  • Andre Vidigal 53' goal
  • Jordan Thompson 77' yellowcard
  • Daniel Johnson 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 60'