Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30pm
Norwich 3 - 4 Bolton
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 12.30pm
Stoke 2 - 1 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Ethan Galbraith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 25.36% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 49.84% ▲ (+0.64)
Draw 24.8% ▼ (-0.15)
Stoke City 25.36% ▼ (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.95% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.29% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 22.71% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 53.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.61% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.7% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 37.74% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 40.53% ▲ (+0.68)
Stoke City 21.73% ▼ (-0.56)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 54.96% ▼ (-1.01)
No Goal 6.07% ▼ (-0.10)
Stoke City 38.97% ▲ (+1.11)

Corners

Over 8 70.69% ▲ (+2.77)
Equal 8 10.19% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 8 19.12% ▼ (-2.56)
Over 9 59.02% ▲ (+2.66)
Equal 9 11.67% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 29.31% ▼ (-2.77)
Over 10.5 46.94% ▲ (+2.25)
Under 10.5 53.06% ▼ (-2.25)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 49.1% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 1.5 50.9% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 2.5 23.42% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 76.58% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 9.11% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 90.89% ▼ (-0.19)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 62.09% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 37.91% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 29% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 71% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 2.5 10.39% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 89.61% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 2.84% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 97.16% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 49.84%
Draw 24.81%
Stoke City 25.37%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 49.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.81%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 25.37%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Josh Sheehan 62' yellowcard
  • goal Million Manhoef 34'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • Clayton Donaldson 60' yellowcard
  • Joshua Vela 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 37'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 65'
  • yellowcard Thomas Edwards 82'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Bruno Martins Indi 10' goal
  • Cuco Martina 71' yellowcard
  • Tom Ince 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 38'
  • yellowcard Craig Noone 60'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Le Fondre 44' goal
  • goal Joselu 78'
  • goal Joselu 88'
Premier League
May 13, 2012 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jon Walters 13' goal
  • Jon Walters 77' goal
  • Robert Huth 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Ricketts 38'
  • goal Mark Davies 39'
  • goal Kevin Davies 45'
Premier League
Nov 6, 2011 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin Davies 2' goal
  • Chris Eagles 23' goal
  • Ivan Klasnic 61' goal
  • Chris Eagles 73' goal
  • Ivan Klasnic 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Walters 76'