Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 3 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Liam Millar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 27.03% and a draw has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).

Result

Cardiff City 48.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 24.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Birmingham City 27.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 56.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.32% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 34.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 41.94%
Birmingham City 23.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 53.48% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Birmingham City 40.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 24.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 54.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 34.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 43.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 56.3% ▼ (-0.05)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 49.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.12%
Under 2.5 75.88%
Over 3.5 9.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.54% ▼ (-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 64.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 31.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.3%
Under 3.5 96.7%

Score analysis

Cardiff City 48.05%
Draw 24.91%
Birmingham City 27.04%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.91%
Birmingham City
1-2 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.04%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Krystian Bielik 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 47'
  • yellowcard Josh Bowler 58'
  • goal Josh Bowler 65'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 73'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Yakou Meite 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 42'
  • goal Juninho Bacuna 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Siriki Dembele 63'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Marcel Oakley 35' yellowcard
  • Marcel Oakley 35' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 56' redcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 56' redcard
  • Scott Hogan 70' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 76' yellowcard
  • goal Rubin Colwill 3'
  • goal Rubin Colwill 3'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 23'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 23'
  • yellowcard Kion Etete 50'
  • yellowcard Kion Etete 50'
  • goal Ryan Wintle 68'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 90'+3'
  • goal Kion Etete 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Perry Ng 84'
  • goal Callum Robinson 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 17' goal
  • Sheyi Ojo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 51'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 70'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 90'
  • yellowcard Maxime Colin 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mark McGuinness 48' yellowcard
  • Cody Drameh 57' yellowcard
  • Curtis Nelson 67' yellowcard
  • Will Vaulks 76' yellowcard
  • Will Vaulks 82' goal
  • goal Jeremy Bela 22'
  • yellowcard Nico Gordon 58'
  • yellowcard Neil Etheridge 82'