Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 8.00pm
Birmingham 4 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
August Priske Flyger

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 14, 2026 7.45pm
QPR 4 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Paul Smyth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw has a probability of 28.93% and a win for Queens Park Rangers has a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Queens Park Rangers win it is 0-1 (8.24%).

Result

Birmingham City 44.5% ▲ (+4.83)
Draw 28.93% ▲ (+0.38)
Queens Park Rangers 26.56% ▼ (-5.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.63% ▼ (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.21% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 1.5 32.79% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 2.5 43.18% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 2.5 56.79% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 22.76% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 3.5 77.23% ▲ (+1.41)
Over 4.5 12.38% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 4.5 87.62% ▲ (+0.99)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 32% ▲ (+3.09)
Draw 41.12% ▼ (-1.29)
Queens Park Rangers 26.89% ▼ (-1.81)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 49.75% ▲ (+6.40)
No Goal 11.08% ▲ (+0.24)
Queens Park Rangers 39.17% ▼ (-6.63)

Corners

Over 8 62.84% ▼ (-4.99)
Equal 8 11.33% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 8 25.82% ▲ (+3.97)
Over 9 50.8% ▼ (-5.61)
Equal 9 12.04% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 9 37.16% ▲ (+4.99)
Over 10.5 39.15% ▼ (-5.71)
Under 10.5 60.85% ▲ (+5.71)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 38.41% ▲ (+3.34)
Under 1.5 61.59% ▼ (-3.35)
Over 2.5 15.57% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 2.5 84.43% ▼ (-1.99)
Over 3.5 5.07% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 3.5 94.93% ▼ (-0.98)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 58.47% ▼ (-3.86)
Under 0.5 41.53% ▲ (+3.86)
Over 1.5 26.23% ▼ (-4.57)
Under 1.5 73.77% ▲ (+4.57)
Over 2.5 9.26% ▼ (-3.18)
Under 2.5 90.74% ▲ (+3.18)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▼ (-1.60)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▲ (+1.61)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 44.5%
Draw 28.93%
Queens Park Rangers 26.57%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.47% ▲ (+1.09)
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.99)
2-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.73)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.81)
3-1 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.99)
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 28.93%
Queens Park Rangers
0-1 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.65)
1-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.61)
0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.83)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.65)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.54)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 2.66% ▼ (-1.60)
Total : 26.57%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Patrick Roberts 6' goal
  • Demarai Gray 65' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Panzo 65' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 76' yellowcard
  • Kanya Fujimoto 76' yellowcard
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Kolli 46'
  • yellowcard Kieran Morgan 46'
  • yellowcard Rhys Norrington-Davies 58'
  • yellowcard Kwame Poku 70'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 79'
Championship
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jimmy Dunne 40' goal
  • Kieran Morgan 90'+6' goal
  • Kieran Morgan 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Amadou Mbengue 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paik Seung-ho 80'
  • goal Patrick Roberts 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Isaac Hayden 58' yellowcard
  • Steve Cook 65' goal
  • Jack Colback 74' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Dunne 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 47'
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 51'
  • goal Juninho Bacuna 62'
Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 22, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Juninho Bacuna 54' yellowcard
  • Dion Sanderson 67' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Field 45'
  • yellowcard Paul Smyth 61'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • goal Tahith Chong 3'
Championship Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Auston Trusty 4' goal
  • Manny Longelo 29' goal