Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.00pm
Wolves 1 - 0 West Brom
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jimmy-Jay Morgan

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Phil Neumann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw has a probability of 27.66% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.41%) , while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (9.05%).

Result

West Bromwich Albion 44.85% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 27.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Birmingham City 27.49% ▼ (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.54% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.62% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 30.38% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 43.48% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 56.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 21.98% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 78.02% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 11.33% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 88.67% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

West Bromwich Albion 32.62% ▲ (+0.51)
Draw 44.59% ▲ (+0.46)
Birmingham City 22.78% ▼ (-0.97)

Team To Score First

West Bromwich Albion 49.61% ▼ (-0.58)
No Goal 9.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Birmingham City 41.36% ▲ (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 55.69% ▼ (-1.15)
Equal 8 12.18% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 8 32.13% ▲ (+1.34)
Over 9 43.46% ▼ (-0.83)
Equal 9 12.23% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 9 44.31% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 10.5 32.26% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 10.5 67.74% ▲ (+0.45)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 1.5 39.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.91% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 84.09% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 4.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.1% ▲ (+0.05)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 61.44% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 38.56% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 25.94% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 74.06% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 8.04% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 91.96% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 3.5 1.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 98.09% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

West Bromwich Albion 44.86%
Draw 27.65%
Birmingham City 27.5%
West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.31% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 44.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.65%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 27.5%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Tommy Doyle 15' yellowcard
  • Tomoki Iwata 58' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 58' yellowcard
  • August Priske 58' yellowcard
  • Demarai Gray 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 46'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike 61'
  • yellowcard Mikey Johnston 61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike  61'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diakite 70'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diakité 70'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 90'+2'
Championship
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Mowatt 12' goal
  • Mikey Johnston 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 28'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 33'
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 78'
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Hawthorns
  • Alfie May 21' goal
  • Christoph Klarer 72' goal
  • Willum Thor Willumsson 76' goal
  • Alfie May 82' goal
  • goal Kyle Bartley 39'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Cedric Kipre 34' yellowcard
  • Carlos Corberan 34' yellowcard
  • Darnell Furlong 78' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 85' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 33'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 55'
  • yellowcard Andre Dozzell 65'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Juninho Bacuna 23' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 25' yellowcard
  • Dion Sanderson 38' goal
  • Gary Gardner 87' goal
  • Manny Longelo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal John Swift 5'
  • yellowcard Cedric Kipre 86'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Hannibal Mejbri 10' goal
  • Krystian Bielik 52' goal