Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Phil Neumann

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Middlesbrough has a probability of 36% and a draw has a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 0-1 (9.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result

Birmingham City 36.57% (-0.91)
Draw 27.43% (+1.65)
Middlesbrough 36% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.93% (-1.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.41% (-3.93)
Under 1.5 31.59% (+3.92)
Over 2.5 44.22% (-4.11)
Under 2.5 55.78% (+4.11)
Over 3.5 24.04% (-3.11)
Under 3.5 75.95% (+3.11)
Over 4.5 13.35% (-2.01)
Under 4.5 86.65% (+2.02)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 23.58% (-0.06)
Draw 39.74% (+3.03)
Middlesbrough 36.67% (-2.98)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 36.21% (-1.93)
No Goal 10.4% (+2.07)
Middlesbrough 53.39% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 59.42% (-4.15)
Equal 8 11.06% (+0.37)
Under 8 29.52% (+3.79)
Over 9 48.01% (-4.15)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 40.58% (+4.15)
Over 10.5 37.18% (-3.82)
Under 10.5 62.82% (+3.82)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 32.37% (-3.09)
Under 1.5 67.63% (+3.08)
Over 2.5 11.53% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 88.47% (+1.71)
Over 3.5 3.13% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 96.87% (+0.79)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 64.58% (-1.69)
Under 0.5 35.42% (+1.68)
Over 1.5 34.06% (-2.33)
Under 1.5 65.94% (+2.33)
Over 2.5 14.8% (-1.50)
Under 2.5 85.2% (+1.50)
Over 3.5 5.34% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 94.66% (+0.83)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 36.58%
Draw 27.43%
Middlesbrough 35.99%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.97% (+1.11)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.53)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.32)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.08% (-0.76)
Total : 36.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 10.4% (+2.07)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.71)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 27.43%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 9.22% (+0.80)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.34)
Other @ 5.29% (-0.81)
Total : 35.99%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Marvin Ducksch 48' goal
  • Carlos Vicente 64' yellowcard
  • August Priske 64' yellowcard
  • August Priske 65' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 65' yellowcard
  • Seung-ho Paik 72' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Osman 72' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 84' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Targett 13'
  • goal Matt Targett 26'
  • goal David Strelec 60'
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 61'
  • yellowcard Alan Browne 74'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 75'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbert 90'+1'
Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Riley McGree 17'
  • yellowcard Jonny Howson 23'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 26' yellowcard
  • Lukas Engel 30' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 58' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 88' goal
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 40'
  • yellowcard John Ruddy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Manny Longelo 71'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Tahith Chong 74' goal
  • goal Matt Crooks 57'
  • goal Matt Crooks 59'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 85'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 23' goal