Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 2 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 4 Burnley
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw has a probability of 22.56% and a win for Watford has a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Watford win it is 1-2 (5.26%).

Result

Cardiff City 59.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 22.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Watford 17.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.31% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.23% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 21.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 56.1% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 43.9% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 33.54% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 66.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 4.5 20.68% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 79.32% ▲ (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 44.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 37.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Watford 17.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 61.39% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Watford 32.72% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 71.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 18.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 59.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 28.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 48.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 51.78% ▲ (+0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 56.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 43.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 30.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 69.61% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 13.12% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 86.88% ▲ (+0.11)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 53.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 46.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 77.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 59.55%
Draw 22.56%
Watford 17.9%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 59.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.56%
Watford
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 17.9%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Cian Ashford 65' goal
  • Calum Chambers 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ngakia 61'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 73'
  • goal Vakoun Issouf Bayo 87'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 38' goal
  • Imran Louza 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan Andrews 86' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Robinson 1'
  • goal Callum Robinson 42'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 55'
  • yellowcard Calum Chambers 69'
  • yellowcard Jesper Daland 81'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 44' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 44' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pollock 47' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pollock 47' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 50' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 50' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Bowler 43'
  • goal Josh Bowler 43'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 51'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 51'
  • yellowcard Josh Bowler 69'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Goutas 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Mark McGuinness 26' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 39'
  • goal Vakoun Issouf Bayo 54'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lewis 65'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 11' goal
  • goal Kion Etete 31'
  • goal Cedric Kipre 35'
  • goal Sory Kaba 42'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Cedric Kipre 9' goal
  • goal Francisco Sierralta 38'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 59'