World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 20, 2024 12.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Gerson 62' goal
  • Gerson 62' goal
  • Raphinha 69' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 89' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 89' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 41'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 41'
  • goal Federico Valverde 55'
  • goal Federico Valverde 55'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Varela 83'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Varela 83'

Brazil vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 9.00pm
Venezuela 1 - 1 Brazil

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 12.00am
Uruguay 3 - 2 Colombia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Brazil 58.49% (-0.50)
Draw 24.03% (+0.11)
Uruguay 17.47% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.5% (+0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.86% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 55.13% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 23.61% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 76.38% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 10.49% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 89.5% (-0.09)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 81.33% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 18.67% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 50% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 50% (+0.21)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 54.72% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 45.28% (-0.59)
Over 1.5 18.84% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 81.15% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Brazil 58.48%
Draw 24.03%
Uruguay 17.47%
Brazil
1-0 @ 14.18% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.43% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 58.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.74% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.03%
Uruguay
0-1 @ 6.7% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.45% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.65% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.18% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.47%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jul 7, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allegiant Stadium
  • Manuel Ugarte 51' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ugarte 51' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 60' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 60' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' redcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' redcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 39'
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 39'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 64'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 18, 2023 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Ronald Araujo 10' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 10' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 21' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 21' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • Nahitan Nandez 57' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 57' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 77' goal
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 77' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 71'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 71'
  • yellowcard Ederson 77'
  • yellowcard Ederson 77'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 83'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 83'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 89'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 89'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 15, 2021 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Neymar 10' goal
  • Raphinha 18' goal
  • Fabinho 43' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 58' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 83' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 47'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 70'
  • goal Luis Suarez 77'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 90'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2020 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Arthur 33'
  • goal Richarlison 45'
International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
  • Douglas Costa 40' yellowcard
  • Walace 43' yellowcard
  • Neymar 76' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 24'
  • yellowcard Mathias Suarez 36'
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 41'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 80'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 86'
Confederations Cup
Jun 26, 2013 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Fred 0' goal
  • Paulinho 0' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 0'