Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
Jun 13, 2025 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Vasco
  • Luciano 33' yellowcard
  • Robert Arboleda 38' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 45' yellowcard
  • Juan Dinenno 87' yellowcard
  • Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva 90'+3' goal
  • goal Rayan 26'
  • goal Nuno Moreira 40'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 60'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 69'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 71'

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
May 31, 2025 10.30pm
Bahia 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Andre Silva

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jun 1, 2025 1.00am
Vasco 0 - 2 Bragantino
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (8.26%).

Result

Sao Paulo 50.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.16%
Vasco da Gama 23.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 56.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 77.2%
Over 4.5 9.99%
Under 4.5 90.01%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 77.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 60.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 50.06%
Draw 26.16%
Vasco da Gama 23.77%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.16%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.77%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Sao Paulo
Oct 17, 2024 1.45am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Vasco
  • Luciano 9' goal
  • Luciano 9' goal
  • Lucas Moura 46' goal
  • Lucas Moura 46' goal
  • Welington 65' yellowcard
  • Welington 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 67' goal
  • Lucas Moura 67' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Vasco
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Sao Paulo
  • Alan Franco 33' goal
  • Alan Franco 33' goal
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 39' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 39' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 45'+3' goal
  • Guilherme Estrella de Paiva 45'+3' goal
  • Maicon 77' yellowcard
  • Maicon 77' yellowcard
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 80' goal
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 80' goal
  • Rossi 88' yellowcard
  • Rossi 88' yellowcard
  • David 90'+3' goal
  • David 90'+3' goal
  • goal Andre Silva 11'
  • goal Andre Silva 11'
  • yellowcard Patryck Lanza 36'
  • yellowcard Patryck Lanza 36'
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Vasco
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sao Paulo
  • Paulinho 37' yellowcard
  • Ramon Diaz 38' yellowcard
  • Leo Pele 45' yellowcard
  • Maicon 73' yellowcard
  • Figueiredo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Mendes 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Vasco
  • Jonathan Calleri 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Nestor 42' goal
  • Lucas Beraldo 89' goal
  • Juan 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cauan Barros 45'
  • goal Matias Galarza 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sao Paulo
Nov 22, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Vasco
  • Brenner 28' yellowcard
  • Luciano 34' goal
  • Hernanes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jadson 4'
  • goal German Cano 19'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 81'
  • yellowcard Lucas Santos 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Andrey 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Vasco
Aug 16, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sao Paulo
  • Bruno Gomes 47' yellowcard
  • German Cano 62' goal
  • Cayo Tenorio 66' yellowcard
  • German Cano 75' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 27'
  • yellowcard Igor Liziero 36'
  • yellowcard Pablo 38'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 69'
  • yellowcard Robert Arboleda 82'
  • goal Reinaldo 90'+7'

Form Data

Bahia 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Talleres
Sao Paulo 0 - 2 Mirassol
Nautico 1 - 2 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Gremio
Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Libertad
Vasco 0 - 2 Bragantino
Vasco 3 - 0 Melgar
Fluminense 2 - 1 Vasco
Vasco 1 - 1 Operario PR
Vasco 3 - 0 Fortaleza
Lanus 1 - 0 Vasco