Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.