Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Athletic Club had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%) , while for a Athletic Club win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.