UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Germany

Dzeko (70')
Gigovic (8'), Dzeko (66'), Tahirovic (74'), Leon Barisic (82'), Demirovic (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Undav (30', 36')
Kimmich (90+5')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Hungary 0-0 Bosnia H'vina
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	5	4
2	Netherlands	2	3	4
3	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	-3	1
4	Hungary	2	-5	1

Germany

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Germany
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	5	4
2	Netherlands	2	3	4
3	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	-3	1
4	Hungary	2	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.52%) and 0-1 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Germany
7.1% ( -0.49)	14.31% ( -0.36)	78.59% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 42.45% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.56% (

-0.23)

39.43% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22% (

-0.24)

61.78% (

0.23)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.2% (

-1.46)

53.8% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.85% (

-0.93)

87.15% (

0.92)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.88% (

0.14)

8.11% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.51% (

0.35)

28.49% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 7.1%

Germany 78.57%

Draw 14.31%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Germany
1-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.29% Total : 7.1%	1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.31%	0-2 @ 13.76% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 11.52% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 7.24% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.64% ( 0.16) 1-5 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 0-6 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 78.57%