Nations League
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Bilino Polje
  • Armin Gigovic 8' yellowcard
  • Edin Dzeko 66' yellowcard
  • Edin Dzeko 70' goal
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 74' yellowcard
  • Adrian Leon Barisic 82' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Deniz Undav 30'
  • goal Deniz Undav 36'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 90'+5'

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.52%) and 0-1 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 7.1% (-0.50)
Draw 14.31% (-0.37)
Germany 78.59% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.45% (-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.56% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 39.43% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 38.22% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 61.78% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 20.73% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 79.27% (+0.19)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 46.2% (-1.46)
Under 0.5 53.8% (+1.46)
Over 1.5 12.85% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 87.15% (+0.93)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 91.88% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 8.11% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 71.51% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 28.49% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 7.1%
Draw 14.31%
Germany 78.57%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 2.71% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 2.11% (-0.16)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 7.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.8% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.36% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.65% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 14.31%
Germany
0-2 @ 13.76% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 11.52% (+0.35)
0-1 @ 10.96% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.17)
0-4 @ 7.24% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 7.15% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 4.49% (-0.03)
0-5 @ 3.64% (+0.16)
1-5 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.13)
0-6 @ 1.52% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 78.57%

Build-up

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