Champions League
May 6, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Alphonso Davies 67' yellowcard
  • Min-jae Kim 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 79' yellowcard
  • Lennart Karl  85' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ousmane Dembélé 3'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barcola 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 76'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernández 76'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernández 77'
  • yellowcard Senny Mayulu 85'

Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 4 Bayern

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 4 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 3-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 53.18% (+4.25)
Draw 19.97% (-0.40)
Paris Saint-Germain 26.86% (-3.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.14% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.49% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 10.51% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 74.02% (+2.00)
Under 2.5 25.95% (-2.04)
Over 3.5 53.65% (+1.65)
Under 3.5 46.35% (-1.65)
Over 4.5 37.6% (+1.70)
Under 4.5 62.4% (-1.70)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 41.76% (+2.06)
Draw 30.09% (-0.49)
Paris Saint-Germain 28.14% (-1.58)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 53.99% (+3.42)
No Goal 2.3%
Paris Saint-Germain 43.71% (-3.41)

Corners

Over 8 67.84% (-5.18)
Equal 8 9.7% (+0.22)
Under 8 22.46% (+4.95)
Over 9 57.16% (-4.82)
Equal 9 10.68% (-0.36)
Under 9 32.16% (+5.17)
Over 10.5 46.35% (-3.97)
Under 10.5 53.65% (+3.97)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 61.6% (+4.06)
Under 1.5 38.4% (-4.06)
Over 2.5 38.68% (+4.36)
Under 2.5 61.32% (-4.37)
Over 3.5 19.74% (+3.50)
Under 3.5 80.26% (-3.50)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 63.77% (-4.05)
Under 0.5 36.23% (+4.05)
Over 1.5 39.52% (-3.20)
Under 1.5 60.48% (+3.20)
Over 2.5 17.48% (-1.74)
Under 2.5 82.52% (+1.73)
Over 3.5 7.02% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 92.98% (+1.00)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 53.18%
Draw 19.97%
Paris Saint-Germain 26.85%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.56% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.31% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 5.38% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.23% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.44% (+0.69)
Other @ 19.01% (+3.32)
Total : 53.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.4% (-0.74)
2-2 @ 6.73% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.3%
Other @ 0.73% (+0.19)
Total : 19.97%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.59)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.50)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.44)
0-1 @ 2.98% (-0.57)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.77)
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.12)
Other @ 6.29% (-1.18)
Total : 26.85%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
5
4
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 24' goal
  • João Neves 33' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 56' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 58' goal
  • Fabián Ruiz 64' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 70' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 84' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 17'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 18'
  • goal Michael Olise 41'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 46'
  • goal Dayot Upamecano 65'
  • goal Luis Díaz 68'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 90'+3'
Champions League
Nov 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club World Cup
Jul 5, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Kim Min-jae 38' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 67' yellowcard
  • Michael Olise 77' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 37'
  • redcard Ousmane Dembele 57'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 57'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 71'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 90'+5'
Champions League
Mar 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 61' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 89' goal
Champions League
Feb 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kingsley Coman 53'

Build-up

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