UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 16, 2024 at 2pm UK

Sahar stadionu

Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Estonia

Kokcu (63'), Cafarquliyev (89')

Paskotsi (39'), Anier (50'), Robert Shein (57'), Tamm (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Slovakia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Estonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Estonia
65.35% ( 0.7)	20.36% ( -0.21)	14.29% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 48.47% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93% (

-0.12)

46.07% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63% (

-0.12)

68.37% (

0.12)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.71% (

0.17)

13.29% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.89% (

0.34)

40.11% (

-0.35)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.9% (

-0.79)

44.1% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.79% (

-0.65)

80.2% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 65.34%

Estonia 14.29%

Draw 20.36%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Estonia
2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 65.34%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.36%	0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.29%