Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.