UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Austria
1 - 1
Slovenia

Schmid (27')
Laimer (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gnezda Cerin (81')
Brekalo (16'), Gnezda Cerin (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Austria and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 1-4 Norway
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Austria	Draw	Slovenia
53.89% ( 0.21)	25.43% ( 0.28)	20.68% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67% (

-1.51)

56.33% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64% (

-1.23)

77.36% (

1.23)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.52)

20.94% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.33% (

-0.82)

53.68% (

0.82)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.72% (

-1.38)

42.28% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.33% (

-1.21)

78.68% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Austria 53.89%

Slovenia 20.68%

Draw 25.43%

Austria	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.89%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.68%