UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Raiffeisen Arena

Austria
4 - 0
Kazakhstan

Baumgartner (10'), Lienhart (54'), Sabitzer (56'), Seidl (79')
Prass (15')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alip (61'), Astanov (65'), Astanov (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Austria and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
Austria	Draw	Kazakhstan
61.71% ( 0.06)	22.08% ( -0.09)	16.21% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

0.38)

49.64% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

0.34)

71.66% (

-0.34)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

0.15)

15.58% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.45% (

0.27)

44.54% (

-0.28)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.37% (

0.26)

43.63% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.18% (

0.21)

79.82% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Austria 61.69%

Kazakhstan 16.21%

Draw 22.08%

Austria	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.69%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.21%