Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-0 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.