Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal
Jan 18, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Morocco
  • Ismaila Sarr 77' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Seck 77' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 77' yellowcard
  • Cherif Ndiaye 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oussama Targhalline 80'
  • yellowcard Youssef En-Nesyri 80'
  • yellowcard Jawad El Yamiq 89'
  • yellowcard Anass Salah-Eddine 90'+4'

Senegal vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Morocco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-0 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Senegal 34.85% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 25.6% ▲ (+0.50)
Morocco 39.55% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.15% ▼ (-1.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.51% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 1.5 24.49% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 2.5 52.7% ▼ (-2.30)
Under 2.5 47.3% ▲ (+2.30)
Over 3.5 31.95% ▼ (-2.31)
Under 3.5 68.05% ▲ (+2.30)
Over 4.5 18.95% ▼ (-1.88)
Under 4.5 81.05% ▲ (+1.88)

Senegal Goals

Over 1.5 36.72% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 1.5 63.28% ▲ (+1.46)
Over 2.5 15.74% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 2.5 84.26% ▲ (+1.19)
Over 3.5 5.79% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 94.21% ▲ (+0.67)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 71.81% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 28.19% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 40.25% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 1.5 59.75% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 2.5 17.6% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 2.5 82.4% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 3.5 6.43% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 3.5 93.57% ▲ (+0.71)

Score analysis

Senegal 34.86%
Draw 25.6%
Morocco 39.54%
Senegal
1-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.45)
2-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.62)
Total : 34.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.35)
0-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.58)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 25.6%
Morocco
0-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.59)
1-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.65)
Total : 39.54%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Morocco
Oct 9, 2020 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Senegal
  • Selim Amallah 10' goal
  • Issam Chebake 37' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 71' goal
  • Youssef El-Arabi 86' goal
  • yellowcard Krepin Diatta 43'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 88'

Form Data

Senegal 1 - 0 Egypt
Mali 0 - 1 Senegal
Senegal 3 - 1 Sudan
Benin 0 - 3 Senegal
Senegal 1 - 1 Congo DR
Senegal 3 - 0 Botswana
Nigeria 0 - 0 Morocco
Cameroon 0 - 2 Morocco
Morocco 0 - 0 Tanzania
Zambia 0 - 3 Morocco
Morocco 1 - 1 Mali
Morocco 2 - 0 Comoros

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups