Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 4.00pm

Nigeria vs Tanzania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Nigeria 2 - 1 Madagascar

Tanzania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 2 Guinea-Bissau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw has a probability of 27.21% and a win for Tanzania has a probability of 19.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Tanzania win it is 0-1 (7.43%).

Result

Nigeria 53.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Tanzania 19.39% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.67%
Under 1.5 33.33%
Over 2.5 40.77%
Under 2.5 59.23%
Over 3.5 20.68%
Under 3.5 79.32%
Over 4.5 11.35%
Under 4.5 88.65%

First Half Winner

Nigeria 36.28%
Draw 44.64%
Tanzania 19.08%

Team To Score First

Nigeria 55.31% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Tanzania 34.19%

Corners

Over 8 29.92%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 58.04%
Over 9 20.21%
Equal 9 9.71%
Under 9 70.08%
Over 10.5 13.01%
Under 10.5 86.99%

Nigeria Goals

Over 1.5 43.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5 51.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 48.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 18.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.35%
Under 3.5 98.65%

Score analysis

Nigeria 53.39%
Draw 27.22%
Tanzania 19.4%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 15.41%
2-0 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 53.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.22%
Tanzania
0-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 19.4%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 1
Dec 23, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Complexe Sportif de Fès
  • Semi Ajayi 36' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 52' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 58' yellowcard
  • goal Charles M'Mombwa 50'