Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rado Rabemananjara 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fontaine 50' goal
  • Nicolas Randriamanampisoa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Hamad 35'
  • goal Cyprian Kachwele 39'
  • yellowcard Himid Mao Mkami 85'

Madagascar vs Tanzania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Nigeria 2 - 1 Madagascar

Tanzania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 2 Guinea-Bissau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 1-0 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Madagascar 32.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 28.02%
Tanzania 39.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.45%
Under 2.5 54.55%
Over 3.5 23.64%
Under 3.5 76.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.03% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Madagascar 21.1%
Draw 46.59%
Tanzania 32.31%

Team To Score First

Madagascar 40.63%
No Goal 9.55%
Tanzania 49.82%

Corners

Over 8 35.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 53.01%
Over 9 25.5%
Equal 9 9.88%
Under 9 64.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 17.72%
Under 10.5 82.28%

Madagascar Goals

Over 1.5 30.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5 70.08%
Under 0.5 29.92%
Over 1.5 35.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.83%
Under 3.5 95.17%

Score analysis

Madagascar 32.83%
Draw 28.02%
Tanzania 39.17%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 28.02%
Tanzania
0-1 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 6.73%
0-3 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 39.17%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Aug 9, 2025 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
COSAFA Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 7, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shekhani Ibrahim Khamis 59' yellowcard
  • goal 28'
  • yellowcard Tantely Avotraniaina Rabarijaona 40'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 14, 2021 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pascal Razakanantenaina 27' yellowcard
  • Hakim Abdallah 65' yellowcard
  • Hakim Abdallah 74' goal
  • Pascal Razakanantenaina 83' redcard
  • goal Simon Msuva 25'
  • yellowcard Novatus Dismas 30'
  • yellowcard Simon Msuva 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mzamiru Yassin 64'
  • yellowcard Erasto Nyoni 79'
  • yellowcard Metacha Mnata 90'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 7, 2021 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Erasto Nyoni 2' goal
  • Novatus Dismas 26' goal
  • Mbwana Samatta 34' yellowcard
  • Erasto Nyoni 45' yellowcard
  • Feisal Salum 53' goal
  • yellowcard Lalaina Jacquot Manampisoa 22'
  • goal Martin Njiva Rakotoharimalala 36'
  • goal Thomas Fontaine 45'+2'