Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Gameweek
3
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Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Guinea-Bissau has a probability of 31.2% and a draw has a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win is 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).
Result
Madagascar
41.73%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
27.07%
Guinea-Bissau
31.2%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
49.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.76%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
29.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
46.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
53.99%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
26.18%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
73.82%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
14.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
85.09%
▲
(+0.03)
First Half Winner
Madagascar
29.43%
Draw
49.68%
Guinea-Bissau
20.88%
Team To Score First
Madagascar
50.76%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
9.22%
▲
(+0.03)
Guinea-Bissau
40.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
20.44%
Equal 8
8.22%
Under 8
71.34%
Over 9
14.43%
Equal 9
6.01%
Under 9
79.56%
Over 10.5
10.25%
Under 10.5
89.75%
Madagascar Goals
Over 1.5
38.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
61.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
16.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
83.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
5.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
94.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5
63.04%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
36.96%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
30.54%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
69.46%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 2.5
11.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
88.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
3.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
96.2%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Madagascar
41.73%
Draw
27.08%
Guinea-Bissau
31.19%
Madagascar
1-0
@
11.38%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.73%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.73%
Draw
1-1
@
12.2%
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.08%
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.08%
Guinea-Bissau
0-1
@
8.64%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.19%
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.19%