Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 4.00pm
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Congo DR 2 - 0 Eq Guinea

Zimbabwe

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 32.25% and a draw has a probability of 27.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win is 0-1 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result

Equatorial Guinea 40.55%
Draw 27.15%
Zimbabwe 32.25% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 45.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 24.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.15%
Over 4.5 13.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 1.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5 64.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 10.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 40.54%
Draw 27.16%
Zimbabwe 32.25%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 40.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.16%
Zimbabwe
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.25%