Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 43.08%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%) , while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.